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PRMIA 8007 Exam Syllabus Topics:

SectionObjectives
Risk Measurement Techniques- Volatility and correlation
  • 1. Correlation estimation techniques
    • 2. Variance-covariance methods
      - Value at Risk (VaR)
      • 1. Historical simulation approach
        • 2. Parametric and non-parametric VaR
          Simulation and Numerical Methods- Monte Carlo simulation
          • 1. Random number generation
            • 2. Risk distribution simulation
              Probability and Statistics Foundations- Statistical inference
              • 1. Estimation theory
                • 2. Confidence intervals and hypothesis testing
                  - Random variables and probability distributions
                  • 1. Expectation, variance, and moments
                    • 2. Discrete and continuous distributions
                      Stochastic Processes and Time Series- Stochastic processes basics
                      • 1. Markov processes
                        • 2. Brownian motion (introductory level)
                          - Time series analysis
                          • 1. Autocorrelation and stationarity
                            • 2. AR, MA, and ARMA models

                              PRMIA Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement - 2015 Edition Sample Questions:

                              1. If the annual volatility of returns is 25% what is the variance of the quarterly returns?

                              A) None of the above
                              B) 0.0156
                              C) 0.0625
                              D) 0.1250


                              2. Kurtosis(X) is defined as the fourth centred moment of X, divided by the square of the variance of X.
                              Assuming X is a normally distributed variable, what is Kurtosis(X)?

                              A) 3
                              B) 1
                              C) 0
                              D) 2


                              3. Which of the following can be used to evaluate a regression model?
                              (i) Magnitude of R2
                              (ii) Magnitude of TSS (total sum of squares)
                              (iii) Tests for statistical significance
                              (iv) Sign and magnitude of each regression parameter

                              A) (i), (ii), and (iii)
                              B) (i), (ii), (iii), and (iv)
                              C) (i) and (iv)
                              D) (i), (iii), and (iv)


                              4. The gradient of a smooth function is

                              A) matrix of second partial derivatives of a function
                              B) infinite at a maximum point
                              C) a vector that shows the direction of fastest change of a function
                              D) a matrix containing the function's second partial derivatives


                              5. Bond convexity is closely related to ...

                              A) The derivative of the bond's present value with respect to yield
                              B) The integral of the bond's present value with respect to yield
                              C) The second derivative of the bond's present value with respect to yield
                              D) The sensitivity of the bond's present value with respect to yield


                              Solutions:

                              Question # 1
                              Answer: B
                              Question # 2
                              Answer: A
                              Question # 3
                              Answer: D
                              Question # 4
                              Answer: C
                              Question # 5
                              Answer: C

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