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PRMIA 8007 Exam Syllabus Topics:

SectionObjectives
Topic 1: Risk Measurement Techniques- Volatility and correlation
  • 1. Variance-covariance methods
    • 2. Correlation estimation techniques
      - Value at Risk (VaR)
      • 1. Parametric and non-parametric VaR
        • 2. Historical simulation approach
          Topic 2: Stochastic Processes and Time Series- Stochastic processes basics
          • 1. Brownian motion (introductory level)
            • 2. Markov processes
              - Time series analysis
              • 1. AR, MA, and ARMA models
                • 2. Autocorrelation and stationarity
                  Topic 3: Probability and Statistics Foundations- Statistical inference
                  • 1. Confidence intervals and hypothesis testing
                    • 2. Estimation theory
                      - Random variables and probability distributions
                      • 1. Expectation, variance, and moments
                        • 2. Discrete and continuous distributions
                          Topic 4: Simulation and Numerical Methods- Monte Carlo simulation
                          • 1. Random number generation
                            • 2. Risk distribution simulation

                              PRMIA Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement - 2015 Edition Sample Questions:

                              Your stockbroker randomly recommends stocks to his clients from a tip sheet he is given each day. Today, his tip sheet has 3 common stocks and 5 preferred stocks from Asian companies and 3 common stocks and 5 preferred stocks from European companies. What is the probability that he will recommend a common stock AND/OR a European stock to you when you call and ask for one stock to buy today?

                              • A. None of these
                              • B. 7/8
                              • C. 9/16
                              • D. 11/16
                              Reveal Solution  Discussion  0

                              Correct Answer: D  🗳️

                              Suppose 60% of capital is invested in asset 1, with volatility 40% and the rest is invested in asset 2, with volatility 30%. If the two asset returns have a correlation of -0.5, what is the volatility of the portfolio?

                              • A. 36%
                              • B. 20.78%
                              • C. 36.33%
                              • D. 26.33%
                              Reveal Solution  Discussion  0

                              Correct Answer: B  🗳️

                              In a 2-step binomial tree, at each step the underlying price can move up by a factor of u = 1.1 or down by a factor of d = 1/u. The continuously compounded risk free interest rate over each time step is 1% and there are no dividends paid on the underlying. Use the Cox, Ross, Rubinstein parameterization to find the risk neutral probability and hence find the value of a European put option with strike 102, given that the underlying price is currently 100.

                              • A. 5.66
                              • B. 5.19
                              • C. 6.31
                              • D. 4.18
                              Reveal Solution  Discussion  0

                              Correct Answer: C  🗳️

                              A quadratic form is

                              • A. a specific solution of the Black-Scholes pricing formula
                              • B. defined as a positive definite Hessian matrix.
                              • C. an algebraic expression in two variables, x and y, involving , , and terms.
                              • D. an algebraic expression in two variables, x and y, involving , and terms.
                              Reveal Solution  Discussion  0

                              Correct Answer: D  🗳️

                              A 95% confidence interval for a parameter estimate can be interpreted as follows:

                              • A. The probability that the estimated value of the parameter is outside this interval is 95%.
                              • B. The probability that the estimated value of the parameter is within this interval is 95%.
                              • C. The probability that the real value of the parameter is within this interval is 95%.
                              • D. The probability that the real value of the parameter is outside this interval is 95%.
                              Reveal Solution  Discussion  0

                              Correct Answer: C  🗳️

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